Contact Us

Michael W. Morrisey
Assistant Director of Policy and Communications
Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis
   Michael.Morrisey@liu.edu@liu.edu
  516-299-3802

LIU Hornstein Center Poll Shows the State of the Union is Divided


Response to President's Address Falls Along Party Lines

Brookville, NY (February 1, 2018) – A new Long Island University Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling and Analysis poll showed that reactions to President’s Trump’s first State of the Union address on Tuesday, January 30 were either favorable or unfavorable consistent with the party affiliation of those who watched.

However, the national poll highlighted that Americans are dis-engaged from party politics. 41 percent responded that they did not identify with one party over another or did not engage in partisan politics, and nearly 40 percent did not watch the State of the Union address. Of those who watched the President’s speech, opinions are largely split down party lines, with 26 percent responding that they disapproved, while 28 percent found the speech “favorable” or “very favorable.” . Only 27 percent believed that the President can deliver on his proposed policies, while more than 40 percent believed he could not. The poll consisted of  more Democrats (33 percent) than Republicans (22 percent), though an analysis of data shows that party identification played a large part in how respondents reacted.

What Americans polled could agree on was that they felt unsatisfied with the current state of affairs in the United States. Nearly 55 percent do not believe the state of the union is strong, while only 20 percent agreed with President Tump’s assertion that it is.  The majority of Americans believe that immigration, infrastructure and national security are of paramount importance to the state of the nation.

“It’s clear that while Americans are holding tightly to their ideological beliefs and view the President through the lens colored by their personal politics, they are also tired of the constant division,” said Dr. Edward Summers, Fellow at the Hornstein Center.  “The President’s job then will be either the continued play to his tightly-held base, or the appeal to Democrats in crafting policies that are less divisive to bring the nation together.”

The findings are based on a published public opinion poll conducted from January 30-31, 2018 of 1031 Americans.

Dr. Summers, who obtained his Ph.D. in Public Policy, is a Fellow at the Hornstein Center. His career includes experience in public policy, higher education, and opinion research.

Long Island University

Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis

National Survey

January 30-31, 2018


What is your reaction to President Trump's State of the Union address?

Answer Choices

Responses

Very Favorable;

17.65%

182

Somewhat Favorable;

10.57%

109

Somewhat Unfavorable;

6.79%

70

Very Unfavorable;

19.01%

196

No Opinion;

7.27%

75

I did not watch the address;

38.70%

399

Do you think President Trump can deliver on his proposed policies?

Answer Choices

Responses

Yes;

27.35%

282

No;

40.35%

416

No Opinion;

8.92%

92

I did not watch the address;

23.38%

241

Were Democratic members of Congress who boycotted the address correct to do so?

Answer Choices

Responses

Yes;

30.55%

315

No;

37.63%

388

Unsure;

18.33%

189

No Opinion;

13.48%

139

Do you believe that the state of the union is strong?

Answer Choices

Responses

Yes, I am satisfied with the current state of affairs in the country;

20.08%

207

No, I am not satisfied with the current state of affairs in the country;

54.80%

565

Unsure;

14.35%

148

No Opinion;

10.77%

111

With what political party do you primarily identify?

Answer Choices

Responses

I primarily identify with the Republican party;

21.63%

223

I primarily identify with the Democratic party;

32.69%

337

I primarily identify with another party;

4.17%

43

I do not primarily identify with one political party;

28.23%

291

I do not engage in partisan politics;

13.29%

137

Are you registered to vote?

Answer Choices

Responses

Yes, I am registered to vote;

89.14%

919

No, I am not registered to vote;

10.86%

112

What do you believe to be the most important policy position discussed in the address?

Answer Choices

Responses

Immigration;

28.49%

284

Infrastructure;

21.26%

212

National Security;

19.76%

197

Defense policy;

5.02%

50

Foreign policy;

6.12%

61

Tax reform;

19.36%

193

Age

Answer Choices

Responses

18-29

18.45%

190

30-44

27.28%

281

45-60

31.94%

329

> 60

22.33%

230

Gender

Answer Choices

Responses

Male

46.60%

480

Female

53.40%

550

Household Income

Answer Choices

Responses

$0-$9,999

8.74%

90

$10,000-$24,999

11.07%

114

$25,000-$49,999

17.86%

184

$50,000-$74,999

14.76%

152

$75,000-$99,999

11.55%

119

$100,000-$124,999

9.13%

94

$125,000-$149,999

5.44%

56

$150,000-$174,999

2.82%

29

$175,000-$199,999

1.84%

19

$200,000+

4.76%

49

Prefer not to answer

12.04%

124

Region

Answer Choices

Responses

New England

5.49%

56

Middle Atlantic

15.98%

163

East North Central

14.22%

145

West North Central

5.88%

60

South Atlantic

16.96%

173

East South Central

6.57%

67

West South Central

9.51%

97

Mountain

8.04%

82

Pacific

17.35%

177



Polling Methodology

This Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling & Analysis poll was conducted through Suveymomkey January 30-31, 2018 in English to 1031 Americans over the age of 18. Polling data was sorted by age, gender & geographic location in efforts to ensure a nationwide representative sample. This poll has an overall margin of error of +/- 3 points.

The Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis at LIU Post conducts independent, fair, and balanced polling, empirical research, and analysis on a wide range of public issues including lifestyle preferences. The Center’s goals include informing the community, public and policy makers about critical issues.


Copyright © Long Island University · All rights reserved
700 Northern Boulevard, Brookville, New York 11548-1327